Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Arkansas
Southland
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.2#327
Expected Predictive Rating-14.6#341
Pace78.5#27
Improvement-0.9#219

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#266
First Shot-3.6#276
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#173
Layup/Dunks-0.6#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#303
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement-0.6#213

Defense
Total Defense-8.6#344
First Shot-7.9#345
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#250
Layups/Dunks-2.3#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#157
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#339
Freethrows-1.3#257
Improvement-0.3#206
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 64   @ Tulsa L 81-98 2%     0 - 1 -5.7 +6.9 -11.4
  Nov 19, 2015 162   @ Massachusetts L 62-89 9%     0 - 2 -24.1 -12.0 -10.3
  Nov 21, 2015 271   @ Rutgers L 84-87 22%     0 - 3 -7.1 +2.7 -9.4
  Nov 23, 2015 339   Texas San Antonio W 98-84 56%     1 - 3 +0.2 +13.7 -13.8
  Nov 25, 2015 332   Howard L 54-73 52%     1 - 4 -31.6 -22.3 -9.4
  Dec 01, 2015 77   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 73-79 3%     1 - 5 +4.1 +7.5 -3.5
  Dec 03, 2015 8   @ Oklahoma L 68-111 1%     1 - 6 -22.4 -2.6 -14.8
  Dec 06, 2015 34   @ Pittsburgh L 47-100 1%     1 - 7 -38.2 -24.5 -9.0
  Dec 16, 2015 77   Arkansas Little Rock L 54-77 7%     1 - 8 -18.8 -15.2 -3.8
  Dec 22, 2015 257   @ Arkansas St. L 67-77 19%     1 - 9 -13.1 -16.3 +4.7
  Jan 02, 2016 316   Abilene Christian L 61-62 56%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -14.7 -20.3 +5.6
  Jan 05, 2016 177   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 82-94 10%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -9.9 +4.4 -13.3
  Jan 09, 2016 330   Lamar W 93-76 62%     2 - 11 1 - 2 +1.6 -5.2 +3.6
  Jan 12, 2016 54   @ Stephen F. Austin L 64-85 2%     2 - 12 1 - 3 -8.3 -7.6 +0.9
  Jan 19, 2016 284   Houston Baptist L 61-72 45%     2 - 13 1 - 4 -21.9 -26.4 +5.9
  Jan 23, 2016 333   @ Nicholls St. W 94-83 41%     3 - 13 2 - 4 +1.0 +7.2 -7.6
  Jan 25, 2016 326   @ New Orleans L 83-94 37%     3 - 14 2 - 5 -19.8 -5.7 -12.5
  Feb 02, 2016 340   @ Northwestern St. L 75-91 45%     3 - 15 2 - 6 -27.0 -10.3 -15.9
  Feb 06, 2016 326   New Orleans W 112-77 59%     4 - 15 3 - 6 +20.3 +18.6 -2.5
  Feb 09, 2016 322   SE Louisiana W 88-72 58%     5 - 15 4 - 6 +1.8 +3.0 -2.2
  Feb 12, 2016 267   @ Incarnate Word L 69-71 21%     5 - 16 4 - 7 -5.6 -10.0 +4.6
  Feb 15, 2016 340   Northwestern St. W 107-94 67%     6 - 16 5 - 7 -3.8 +9.2 -14.6
  Feb 20, 2016 225   @ Sam Houston St. L 75-105 14%     6 - 17 5 - 8 -30.8 +4.4 -36.3
  Feb 22, 2016 334   @ McNeese St. W 88-82 43%     7 - 17 6 - 8 -4.4 +2.9 -7.7
  Feb 27, 2016 322   @ SE Louisiana L 56-75 36%     7 - 18 6 - 9 -27.4 -22.2 -4.8
  Feb 29, 2016 225   Sam Houston St. L 73-83 30%     7 - 19 6 - 10 -16.6 -6.4 -9.8
  Mar 03, 2016 333   Nicholls St. L 64-68 64%     7 - 20 6 - 11 -19.8 -13.0 -6.9
  Mar 05, 2016 334   McNeese St. L 77-85 65%     7 - 21 6 - 12 -24.2 -3.4 -21.0
Projected Record 7.0 - 21.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%